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Recent questions tagged p556

There are three coins. One is a two headed coin (having head on both faces), another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows heads, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin ?

asked Dec 18, 2012 by thanvigandhi_1

1 answer

Two groups are competing for the position on the Board of directors of a corporation. The probabilities that the first and the second groups will win are 0.6 and 0.4 respectively. Further, if the first group wins, the probability of introducing a new product is 0.7 and the corresponding probability is 0.3 if the second group wins. Find the probability that the new product introduced was by the second group.

asked Nov 27, 2012 by balaji.thirumalai

1 answer

A factory has two machines A and B. Past record shows that machine A produced 60% of the items of output and machine B produced 40% of the items. Further, 2% of the items produced by machine A and 1% produced by machine B were defective. All the items are put into one stockpile and then one item is chosen at random from this and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was produced by machine B?

asked Nov 27, 2012 by balaji.thirumalai

1 answer

An insurance company insured 2000 scooter drivers, 4000 car drivers and 6000 truck drivers. The probability of an accidents are 0.01, 0.03 and 0.15 respectively. One of the insured persons meets with an accident. What is the probability that he is a scooter driver? (Note, in 2014, this was modified to ask for the probability that he is a car driver also).

asked Nov 27, 2012 by balaji.thirumalai

1 answer

A laboratory blood test is 99% effective in detecting a certain disease when it is in fact, present. However, the test also yields a false positive result for 0.5% of the healthy person tested (i.e. if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability 0.005, the test will imply he has the disease). If 0.1 percent of the population actually has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive ?

asked Nov 27, 2012 by balaji.thirumalai

1 answer

In answering a question on a multiple choice test, a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let $ \frac{3}{4} $ be the probability that he knows the answer and $\frac{1}{4} $ be the probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability $ \frac{1}{4} $ . What is the probability that the student knows the answer given that he answered it correctly?

asked Nov 27, 2012 by balaji.thirumalai

1 answer

Of the students in a college, it is known that 60% reside in hostel and 40% are day scholars (not residing in hostel). Previous year results report that 30% of all students who reside in hostel attain A grade and 20% of day scholars attain A grade in their annual examination. At the end of the year, one student is chosen at random from the college and he has an A grade, what is the probability that the student is a hostlier?

asked Nov 27, 2012 by balaji.thirumalai

1 answer

A bag contains 4 red and 4 black balls, another bag contains 2 red and 6 black balls. One of the two bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from the bag which is found to be red. Find the probability that the ball is drawn from the first bag.

asked Nov 27, 2012 by balaji.thirumalai

1 answer

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